The "new" Facebook -

Last week I was at South by Southwest Interactive and attended a talk by Dave Morin, senior platform manager at Facebook.
Most of the highlights of the presentation you can read here or here. But what struck me in the presentation what the fundamental way that Facebook sees its users and it's overall model of data. This is the first in a few posts of my thoughts on Facebook.

You and Your Connections: At a macro level, Facebook thinks you're connected to people in one of 4 different ways.
1. Friends
2. Family
3. Coworkers
4. Public Figures

As a step for providing some structure its commendable since they lifted the cap on the 5000 friends. However, humans aren't quite as binary as a 01 or a 11. We don't just split our friends into preset groups, it's fluid and changes over time.

For example, there was a talk at SXSWi on Social Engineering: Scam Your Way Into Anything or From Anybody (mp3). If I had that posted on Facebook, some of my friends would commend me for getting to know more about social engineer and others would deride me for learning how to be a scam artist.

This will increasing cause problems across the web with the proliferation of Facebook Connect. The three areas of focus for FB Connect that Morin highlighted were:
1. Identity - Real Name Real Identity
2. Friends - Add social context to filter & highlight content
3. Feed - Publish actions with 3rd parties to show your friends what you're doing

This leads to the fallacy that assumes that your social network provides context to who you are. But a computerized representation can never capture a person's entire identity. So what we're probably going to see in the next few months is Facebook doing semi-targeted link bombing everything across the web as FB Connect makes an assumption that the little information spoors you drop as you surf the web wants to be shown and streamed to everyone in your network. Traffic volumes and links will rise crazily as ad agencies like mine try to game this system and make sure their stuff get the more number of links across the web. Then eventually it will subside as people learn privacy controls and people realise that the value of social linking drops as the signal to noise ratio plummets.
Maybe some new upstart company will come along and unseat Facebook in the meantime. Who knows?

Facebook and Reach

@Silona tweeted about an Economist article that talks about the max number of social connections a human brain can handle is about 150 (the Dunbar number). They interviewed Cameron Marlow, a researcher with Facebook that gave data on the average number of connections a person has on Facebook is 120. However, the people in the high network group are about 500.

The average male Facebook user with 120 friends:

• Leaves comments on 7 friends’ photos, status updates, or wall
• Messages or chats with 4 friends

The average female Facebook user with 120 friends:

• Leaves comments on 10 friends’ photos, status updates, or wall
• Messages or chats with 6 friends

The average male Facebook user with 500 friends:

• Leaves comments on 17 friends’ photos, status updates, or wall
• Messages or chats with 10 friends

The average female Facebook user with 500 friends:

• Leaves comments on 26 friends’ photos, status updates, or wall
• Messages or chats with 16 friends

So what does this mean for campaigns?

If we're looking at doing a branded Facebook application we'd probably see about 1000 users for a moderately successful app. So this lets us serve up 120,000 impressions on the status updates or about 840,000 impressions per week. [Note: As of last year when I checked, Facebook allows applications to send out 7 updates per week].
This level of engagement is pretty low as status update, the number of users that are active in that range is about 5.8% so you're probably getting a number closer to 50,000 real eyeballs on your brand.
So next time you do a media spend, take a look at how much it costs for getting your impressions on to Facebook and maybe the cost will justify doing an application instead.

Skittles: Social Web and the Navigation Takeover

A coworker of mine pointed me to a new campaign site for Skittles. It's a homepage takeover where their home page is replaced by a Twitter search and a navigator that takes you to the Skittles Facebook page and the Skittles YouTube page.

My own quick summary of what I've seen out on the web in comments are:

• Marketers that are asking questions to see if their readers have any opinions
• Social media people who are mostly saying that Skittles "gets it" by going social
• Advertising pundits that are saying how Skittles is ripping off the agency Modernista

From a usability point of view, I'd have to say I hate it. The usefulness of this explorer far degrades the sites that they're pointing to. I get a distracted from my goal of finding out more about skittles because my UI is blocked by their own navigator.

For brand and ad perspective. I think this campaign hits at the perfect time. Twitter usage is quite high and to do a splashy homepage takeover is drawing hundreds of thousands of eye-balls. As the first major brand to do this, they're probably the only ones now since the newness will have worn off. Executionally, it's so so. The creative aspects around this site and the navigator are not very exciting and future agencies will have to wrap this content around better creative to interest and engage their users.

The most interesting thing that I saw is that external groups are already piggy-backing off of this twitter effort to promote their own groups. I saw a tweet about saving Tibet that had the word Skittles to bring it into the tweet search results page. Also another by Jessica Stanell that promoted her own blog.

One of the big risks of opening up your brand to the web is the lack of reputation systems. If I was Wrigley's, I could have a bunch of anonymous users log on and start trashing Skittles on twitter and that would flood the site temporarily. It probably would only need to go on for about 5 minutes in order to get picked up by blogs or the press and bring the lawyers of the Mars Candy corporation to lock the site down. A reputation system could help (not bulletproof) the PR of Skittles against baseless attacks.

Although at the end of the day, being social on the web means you've got to have thick skin and given enough time, everyone will have it and the eyes to ignore all the crazies.